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The Justin Herbert Problem Isn’t Just the Playoffs

The Strange Case of Justin Herbert Continues

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Ethan Strauss
Sep 14, 2026
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NFL season is back, which means I return to my fascination with Justin Herbert’s football media reputation. Quoting friend of pod Nate Silver, following Herbert’s disastrous debut against the Arizona Cardinals:

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Nate Silver@NateSilver538
Not to enter the QB discourse, but I don't really get the Justin Herbert thing. The dude has never won a playoff game! Advanced stats suggest a slightly-above-average starter.
11:15 PM · Sep 13, 2026 · 252K Views

170 Replies · 129 Reposts · 2.63K Likes

It’s funny to me that the former narrative has totally overshadowed the latter narrative. Herbert-haters, a now growing cadre, tend to invoke the three playoff flameouts while ignoring the larger body of regular season evidence that suggests a lack of an elite baseline. Ironically, Justin Herbert’s status might actually be helped by his infamy as a postseason choker. The well-known knock conveys that he simply has to overcome one issue, as opposed to a few. “But he chokes in the playoffs” is a narrative hurdle more appropriately reserved for an all-time regular season performer like Peyton Manning. But Justin Herbert isn’t that. He just looks like one, in both superficial traits and superficial output. So, how did this happen, and what are Herbert’s actual faults?

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