From Subscriber Joe:
Pretty good day for the proponents of 100-100 being the platonic ideal NBA score.
I feel a bit bloodless and robotic making this observation in the aftermath of such a riveting playoff night, but yes. Knicks-Sixers (104-101) and Nuggets-Lakers (101-99) were about as great a doubleheader as basketball fans are ever going to get. Those games were captivating for a variety of reasons, but there’s a magic in every possession feeling hard.
When I wrote “The Public Wants Less Scoring” roughly one year ago, I couldn’t have imagined the league would actually a) Agree b) Successfully curb scoring within one year c) Do so in secret, against their own rules, and d) Have broadcasters aggressively promote the “reform” the league only recently denied was even happening. Hey, whatever works, I guess.
Of course, not everybody is happy with the results. With refs under pressure to now allow a certain amount of contact, many a play looks like prison ball. LeBron James, in the aftermath of yet another defeat at the hands of the Nuggets, gave voice to the idea that perhaps the NBA overcorrected:
D-Lo clearly gets hit in the face on the drive. What the fuck do we have a replay center [for] ... Makes no sense to me. It bothers me. And then I just saw what happened with the Sixers-Knicks game, too. What are we doing?
I’m reminded of Conquest’s rule (paraphrased), “Everyone is a conservative about the subjects they best understand.” While the public mostly enjoys the new whistle swallowing in an uncomplicated way, LeBron, man who’s mastered the intricacies of his world through great effort, is negatively fixated on upended norms. We can hazard that James is merely playing the result here, and that if his would be game winner had gone in, he feels different. Maybe, but LeBron continued to oppose the Play-In tournament after the Lakers persevered through it. I think he just hates the changes he hates.
Also, LeBron’s got a point, even if the complaints are a little much. There’s probably a middle path between Trae Young going to the free throw line whenever he winces and rugby scrums in the paint deciding basketball games. The end of Knicks-Sixers was perfect (unless you’re a Sixers fan), but it was also a mess inspired by either referee incompetence or chosen negligence. Some latitude with contact should be allowed in the closing moments, but there’s a balance. If you establish “anything goes,” as a baseline on the baseline, it’s not a sustainable set up.
But there will always be issues to fine tune after a reform makes a real impact. I’d argue that the NBA, while its process left something to be desired, has really found something with the tamped down foul calls. Pro basketball’s lessened cultural relevance in recent years inspired so many overlapping explanatory theories, all probably true to some degree. It’s not a monocausal situation, obviously, but the criminalizing of contact has likely been underrated as a problem. Now that contact is back, so too is tension, suspense and that feeling of having witnessed a wonderful war.
The allowance of contact has also revealed the abundance of three-pointers to be less of a drag on the game. Many, including myself at times, felt like the optimization of three-point shooting had made results too random to the point of feeling fake. That might be so on occasion, but when you combine a high proportion of threes with more rugged play, you get the sorts of exciting swings you see in NFL games. A ton of three point shooting in a high possession game feels decadent, but a ton of three point shooting in a nail-biting low possession one is compelling.
The NBA’s sneak reform has taught us a lot about basketball, not just in terms of what works, but also in terms of what it is. We like to act as though there’s just this unchanging thing called, “basketball” whenever we debate whether the 96 Bulls would beat the 2023 Nuggets or whatever. But a game is simply its rules, rules which apparently change.
Remember, the NBA chose the recent scoring binge era. Those pumped up results were often attributed to players being more skilled than ever before, but now and again, Silver would take credit for the shift. That was back when more scoring was assumed to be a positive, because it was positive relative to the scoring drought of the early 2000s.
It turns out, there’s an optimal setting, probably hovering in the 100 point range. But it’s not as simple as hitting that mark. There’s a way we want basketball played, a balance to the selfishness, unselfishness and defensive resistance. When it all comes together, there’s nothing better in sports. I would argue that the Denver Nuggets are the current platonic ideal of how basketball should be played. Additionally, I’d argue that they just won a thriller that constituted the platonic ideal of how basketball should be called.
Basketball is a contact sport. An element of physicality has to exist to counterbalance the insanely high skill level of players. They finally figured this out after ~5 years in the wilderness. Hope it sticks, and I suspect it will because these playoffs are going to be awesome.
Nice piece, Ethan. You nail it with these sentences:
"Now that contact is back, so too is tension, suspense and that feeling of having witnessed a wonderful war."
"A ton of three point shooting in a high possession game feels decadent, but a ton of three point shooting in a nail-biting low possession one is compelling."
The rules should be set so that skill is maximally on display. You can't grab a guy 25 feet from the hoop (well, unless you're on the 90s Knicks) because basketball is partly about the ability to beat a guy off the dribble, or work your way open enough to get a clean look at the basket. If it's not, then you've taken away part of the game, and for what? So the home team can win? So the team with the biggest stars can win? So we can go to a Game seven? Oh, I forgot. David Stern isn't in charge any longer. Kidding. Not really. Similarly, near the basket, power comes into play as much as finesse. The defender ALWAYS needs to be granted the ground beneath his feet, but beyond that, basketball is partly about strength and challenging shots/beating a challenge. So the refs have to allow some physicality. As you get nearer the basket, more physicality has to be allowed. Now, that's hard to modulate perfectly all the time. But what fans must see is consistency, and most importantly an understanding of why the rules are there.
Occasionally in the NFL, refs will swallow their whistles and every OL and DB will hold like a m*f*. And the result of this is that good pass-rushing ability and route-running get taken out of the game, while bad OL and DB play becomes irrelevant, inevitably favoring one team or another. And why? Because refs lose sight of WHY THEY ARE THERE. There is no excuse for that. In MLB, for a long time, starting with the Atlanta Braves, pitchers started to try to nibble on the outside, eventually gaining several inches of territory that umpires were happy to call strikes. Again, here the officials lost sight of what they were doing. The strike zone has to be defined as a place where hitters want the ball. If strikes are granted to pitches that hitters basically can't hit hard, the game stops making sense, and we sacrifice hitting skill for some silly target-hitting contest.
The rules have to make sense, and have to showcase the game and its skills as much as possible. That's it. High or low scores, your team winning, the game being close, that's all bullshit that you wouldn't care about if you actually love the game.